I can see a future of about 20-25 schools that have a chance each year. Reality probably less than 10. Like you mention the lower level P5s are going to struggle.
You mean exactly like it?s been for the last 40-50 years? Go Google best teams of the 70s, 80s, 90s, etc. You?ll get a different team here and there coming in and going out, but there are 15?coremteams that are always there and the other 10 come from the same group of 20 or so teams.
Miami, VT and Nebraska are the teams out of style right now, for example, so a few different teams like TCU or maybe even a Cincinnati will get a little spotlight for a few years. How many years have we had Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson and Georgia/Notre Dame being the named playoff teams before the season even starts?