I guess if you're looking for something/someone to hang your hat on, you found it, IM4. It's true that, that we're even being mentioned by someone out there is something to feel good about. Good to know that McMurphy... who no kidding, deserves a lot of respect at least in terms of reporting since he's been on the front end of so much of the realignment stories of the last two years, particularly Boise's soap opera... thinks an undefeated team from CUSA 3.0 will win the hearts and minds of the CFP committee over any MWC or AAC or MAC team.
I'm sure you won't mind if I lend some balance... just taking whatever comes from googling "bowl projections" postings from the last month...
ESPN: Marshall (McMurphy)
ESPN: Cincinnati (Schlabach) (... and has Herd vs. Toledo in Bahamas)
CBS: Cincinnati (... and has the Herd vs. San Diego St. in HoDallas)
National Football Post: Houston (... and has Herd vs. Fresno St. in HoDallas)