Author Topic: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game  (Read 1129 times)

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How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
« on: November 21, 2020, 07:34:45 PM »
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  • I would say we will drop to 19 in AP and without a game over thanksgiving I can see us dropping to 22 or 23 depending on outcomes. Any news on trying to find a game for next weekend?
     
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    HerdFans.com

    How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « on: November 21, 2020, 07:34:45 PM »

    Online parshall2marshall

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #1 on: November 21, 2020, 08:04:38 PM »
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  • 19 sounds about right, I look for CC, Iowa State, and Northwestern to pass us.
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    Offline ed swain

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #2 on: November 21, 2020, 08:30:58 PM »
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  • All of this crap is coming from cash headquarters.
     

    Online herd2win

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #3 on: November 21, 2020, 08:34:18 PM »
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  • No breaks in today’s games...I also think 19 is about where we will be ranked...the bigger issue is this is the week the playoff rankings come out and we will be lucky to be in the top 25.
     

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #4 on: November 21, 2020, 09:21:48 PM »
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  • Looking like our ranking could be worse than 19. Oklahoma, Iowa state, northwestern , Wisconsin will drop to 15ish so that will drop us. In the playoff polls i would say 24 or 25. Personally I don’t think SOS should a large weighting in rankings this year but I’m sure they will use that excuse to keep Cincy or BYU out.
     

    Offline Big City

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #5 on: November 22, 2020, 07:53:28 AM »
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  • There are two flaws to the current system. Marshall doesn’t stand a chance.

    1. ADs agreed to essentially leave all but one G5 programs out.
    2. The committee can make the rules up as they go and show bias toward P5 and their “favorite” programs. They put the teams in the playoff that will draw the highest TV ratings
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    Offline herdorbust

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #6 on: November 22, 2020, 08:34:19 AM »
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  • There are two flaws to the current system. Marshall doesn’t stand a chance.

    1. ADs agreed to essentially leave all but one G5 programs out.
    2. The committee can make the rules up as they go and show bias toward P5 and their “favorite” programs. They put the teams in the playoff that will draw the highest TV ratings

    Sad but true. This is probably the closest Marshall will ever get and it’s not even that close. First, we have to be undefeated to even have a slim chance. How often is that? Second, even if we are, they will alway take a one loss UCF, Cincy, Boise, etc because of strength of schedule. Heck this year Coastal Carolina would even get it over us if they beat Liberty. Football is rigged and hard to expect very much.
     
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    Offline ThunderValley

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #7 on: November 22, 2020, 08:53:43 AM »
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  • The playoff poll has always been a popularity contest

    No way are they going to put a G5 in
     

    Offline herdorbust

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #8 on: November 22, 2020, 09:25:21 AM »
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  • The playoff poll has always been a popularity contest

    No way are they going to put a G5 in

    We are talking about even a NY6 bowl.
     

    Offline ThunderingHerdFan

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #9 on: November 22, 2020, 10:24:58 AM »
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  • Two things:

    1. I kind of get tired of “how far are we going to drop” posts after every open week. That’s not how polls work in open weeks.

    2. This week, I think we will drop a little. Not because we are off... we could have beaten Charlotte 59-0 and it wouldn’t affect the polls for this coming week. Some teams behind us had “impressive” wins over teams ranked above us. I think Coastal will be ranked ahead of us this week. I think Oklahoma jumps us while Ok State drops below us. I think Northwestern jumps us, but I don’t think Wisconsin drops below us. I think Indiana stays above us despite the loss. I think we will be in the 18-19 range but again, it’s based on what those teams around us did, not that we were off.
     

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #10 on: November 22, 2020, 12:28:14 PM »
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  • Two things:

    1. I kind of get tired of “how far are we going to drop” posts after every open week. That’s not how polls work in open weeks.

    2. This week, I think we will drop a little. Not because we are off... we could have beaten Charlotte 59-0 and it wouldn’t affect the polls for this coming week. Some teams behind us had “impressive” wins over teams ranked above us. I think Coastal will be ranked ahead of us this week. I think Oklahoma jumps us while Ok State drops below us. I think Northwestern jumps us, but I don’t think Wisconsin drops below us. I think Indiana stays above us despite the loss. I think we will be in the 18-19 range but again, it’s based on what those teams around us did, not that we were off.


    So drop in polls on open weeks isn’t how polls work, yet you think we will drop? Seems like that’s exactly how this open week will play out. Teams with open weeks that are further down the rankings always risk dropping. Coastal, northwestern, on state, Indians, Wisconsin will all be above us. I wouldn’t be surprised to see auburn and even Washington jump us
     

    Offline coloradoherd

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #11 on: November 22, 2020, 12:40:00 PM »
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  • The last time we had an open week (Week 10), we moved up 3 spaces from 19 to 16, so you can’t assume you will drop just because of the bye week. It depends on a lot.
     

    HerdFans.com

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #11 on: November 22, 2020, 12:40:00 PM »

    Offline ThunderValley

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #12 on: November 22, 2020, 01:00:20 PM »
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  • Herd will be #18
     

    Offline ThunderingHerdFan

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #13 on: November 22, 2020, 01:08:25 PM »
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  • Marshall No. 16 in the coaches poll. Swapped with Iowa State from last week.
     

    Online herdfifteen

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #14 on: November 22, 2020, 01:11:37 PM »
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  • Fantastic, we continue to get well deserved respect!
     

    Offline ThunderingHerdFan

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #15 on: November 22, 2020, 04:05:20 PM »
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  • So drop in polls on open weeks isn’t how polls work, yet you think we will drop? Seems like that’s exactly how this open week will play out. Teams with open weeks that are further down the rankings always risk dropping. Coastal, northwestern, on state, Indians, Wisconsin will all be above us. I wouldn’t be surprised to see auburn and even Washington jump us

    Coastal beat Appy and dropped. This was my point that it just didn’t matter if we played Charlotte or not. The result in the poll was going to be the same.
     

    Offline THECHAMPISHERE

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #16 on: November 22, 2020, 04:42:13 PM »
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  • Needs to be a 16 team playoff. 5 P5 Champs. 5 G5 Champs. 6 at large/ highest ranked outside of the Champions. These 6 teams would usually be P5 schools. So you would (usually) end up with 11 P5's and 5 G5s. Every once in a while another G5 or a BYU would sneak in there.

    I think this is fair and reasonable.
     
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    Offline Herdmeister

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #17 on: November 22, 2020, 04:44:04 PM »
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  • Coastal beat Appy and dropped. This was my point that it just didn’t matter if we played Charlotte or not. The result in the poll was going to be the same.
    Exactly.  The more games P5 schools play the tougher for us. Playing in the weakest conference in America and a weak OOC schedule as well pretty much eliminates us from serious contention of the NY6
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    Offline Herdmeister

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #18 on: November 22, 2020, 04:46:50 PM »
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  • Needs to be a 16 team playoff. 5 P5 Champs. 5 G5 Champs. 6 at large/ highest ranked outside of the Champions. These 6 teams would usually be P5 schools. So you would (usually) end up with 11 P5's and 5 G5s. Every once in a while another G5 or a BYU would sneak in there.

    I think this is fair and reasonable.
    The P5 has no incentive to share their money with any more G5's than the one they are contractually obligated to
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    Offline herdorbust

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #19 on: November 22, 2020, 05:50:16 PM »
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  • Exactly.  The more games P5 schools play the tougher for us. Playing in the weakest conference in America and a weak OOC schedule as well pretty much eliminates us from serious contention of the NY6

    And now sitting right below us is all big name schools. They win and they will start to move up. Be lucky if we can hold in the 16-17 spots.
     

    Offline whf

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #20 on: November 22, 2020, 06:12:13 PM »
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  • Exactly.  The more games P5 schools play the tougher for us. Playing in the weakest conference in America and a weak OOC schedule as well pretty much eliminates us from serious contention of the NY6
    If you watch a lot of MACtion, I don't see how you can say we are the weakest conference in FBS; they have some really skunk teams this year, and none as strong as MU, FAU, UAB, UTSA, and perhaps UNT.  And I'll put the top and mid C-USA teams up against the top and mid-SunBelt teams any day of the week.
     

    Offline herdorbust

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #21 on: November 22, 2020, 06:18:35 PM »
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  • If you watch a lot of MACtion, I don't see how you can say we are the weakest conference in FBS; they have some really skunk teams this year, and none as strong as MU, FAU, UAB, UTSA, and perhaps UNT.  And I'll put the top and mid C-USA teams up against the top and mid-SunBelt teams any day of the week.

    Well this conference has been fighting for the bottom spot every year. And this year is by far the worst it has ever been. WKU crashed, fau down from kiffen years, LT down, UAB down. And the rest are just beyond awful.
     

    HerdFans.com

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #21 on: November 22, 2020, 06:18:35 PM »

    Offline herdorbust

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #22 on: November 22, 2020, 06:24:43 PM »
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  • If you watch a lot of MACtion, I don't see how you can say we are the weakest conference in FBS; they have some really skunk teams this year, and none as strong as MU, FAU, UAB, UTSA, and perhaps UNT.  And I'll put the top and mid C-USA teams up against the top and mid-SunBelt teams any day of the week.

    We are dead last in real time rpi with 7 schools above #100. The Mac has 4 schools above #100.
     

    Online herd2win

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #23 on: November 22, 2020, 06:33:16 PM »
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  • Not saying CUSA is a world beater but there is not much difference in any of the G5 conferences except the AAC...the rest are about the same...the shame is that had we played our regular schedule we would have been undefeated. 

    I think BYU and Cincy are better than us but I believe we are next and we could beat most of the P5 teams ranked above 10.  Watched USC 3 times and we are balanced enough to beat them...
     

    Offline Herdmeister

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #24 on: November 22, 2020, 08:06:36 PM »
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  • If you watch a lot of MACtion, I don't see how you can say we are the weakest conference in FBS; they have some really skunk teams this year, and none as strong as MU, FAU, UAB, UTSA, and perhaps UNT.  And I'll put the top and mid C-USA teams up against the top and mid-SunBelt teams any day of the week.
    The only true indicator is RPI. It takes into consideration strength of schedule scores etc We are last
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                   ----Lou Gehrig

     

    HerdFans.com

    Re: How far we will drop tomorrow and the next week without a game
    « Reply #24 on: November 22, 2020, 08:06:36 PM »