We (#3) need to knock off #7 Charlotte and #5 ODU.
a home sweep will put us at 11-3, leave charlotte at best 7-7, and leave odu at best 8-6 (if they beat wku). we'd own the tie-breaker vs odu, so assuming that utep doesn't win out, we'd only have to win 1 of our last 4 at that point to finish top 4.
I think we are best off if #1 UAB beats #2 MTSU @ MTSU Sunday (only game for either team this week).
i think ideally, a mtsu win would help us more, it'd be another loss for uab. if mtsu would win and we win out, we'd finish 13-3 and the best uab could do would be 13-3. the tiebreaker would be best record vs the highest ranked team in the standings, which would likely be mtsu, we'd be 2-0 against them, uab would be 1-1, so we'd be the regular season champ and secure our nit berth.
if uab wins, and we win out, we'd need uab to lose somewhere along the way, arguably twice along the way. the difference between 2/3 seed is minimal, that's why i think mtsu winning helps us out more.
#4 La Tech is at #13 UTSA and #6 UTEP...Looking from some help from the Miners.
since utep owns the tiebreaker against us and are sitting at 6 losses, just outside the top 4, and us not having a chance to beat them, i think we need la tech to beat them. la tech is 4th, while it'd be nice to stay and finish in the top 3 (to avoid uab until the finals), ultimately we need to finish top 4. if la tech beats utep, that drops them to 7 losses, which means we could go 3-3 down the stretch and still finish ahead of them.